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Building a portfolio: tiers, allocations and rebalancing

The allocation decisions that matter are made in a spreadsheet on a quiet afternoon, not on a screen during a move.

MODULE 51 OF 64 LEVEL 6: RISK AND PORTFOLIO 14 MIN

Decide the total first, and separately

The most consequential number is not which tokens. It is what percentage of your total net worth sits in crypto at all. Everything inside that allocation is a smaller decision than the size of the allocation itself.

  1. Start from what you can lose entirely without changing how you live. That is a hard constraint, not a conservative suggestion.
  2. Subtract your emergency reserve, three to six months of expenses, held in cash outside crypto. This is not part of the calculation, it is prior to it.
  3. Subtract money with a job in the next five years. A deposit, school fees, a known expense. Crypto drawdowns last years and do not consult your calendar.
  4. What remains is the pool. Your crypto allocation comes out of that, not out of everything.
  5. Write the percentage down and treat any number above it as a signal to trim rather than a reason to celebrate.
A common and defensible range for someone with an otherwise ordinary financial position is one to ten percent of net worth. Higher can be rational for people with deep sector knowledge, a long horizon and secure income. It should be a decision with reasons, not a position you drifted into during a rally.

A tiered structure

Each tier has a different job and a different expected outcome
Tier 1, core
50 to 70 percent
Bitcoin and Ethereum. The longest track records, deepest liquidity, most institutional access. Held for years, rarely traded. This tier is not exciting and it is what keeps the portfolio alive through a cycle.
Tier 2, established
20 to 35 percent
Large protocols with real revenue, multi year operating history and genuine usage. Each requires a written thesis and periodic review. Expect some to fail entirely.
Tier 3, speculative
5 to 15 percent
Newer projects, small caps, high conviction bets. Size every one assuming total loss. Most will go to zero and that is the design, not a failure of it.
Tier 4, dry powder
10 to 25 percent
Stablecoins or cash. The tier everyone skips and the one that determines whether you can buy at the bottom. Without it, a crash is purely something that happens to you.

The percentages are a starting shape, not a prescription. What matters is that each tier has a defined job, a defined maximum, and a rule for what happens when it exceeds it.

Rebalancing: the mechanism that enforces discipline

Rebalancing means periodically returning to your target weights. Its real function is not optimisation. It is that it forces you to sell what has run and buy what has not, mechanically, at the exact moments your instincts argue hardest against it.

Three approaches
Calendar
Quarterly or annually
Rebalance on fixed dates regardless of conditions. Simplest to follow and hardest to rationalise away, which is its main advantage.
Threshold
When a tier drifts
Act when any tier moves more than a set amount from target, for example ten percentage points. More responsive and requires more monitoring.
Bands with a floor
A practical hybrid
Check quarterly, act only if something has breached its band. Fewer transactions, fewer taxable events, and it still catches large drifts.
Rebalancing is a taxable event in most jurisdictions. Selling to rebalance realises a gain or a loss, and in some places even a crypto to crypto swap does. Factor this in before choosing a frequent schedule, and keep the records as you go rather than reconstructing them later.

The rules that prevent the common failures

Write it down before you need it

Every rule above is easy to hold in a calm market and nearly impossible to invent in a violent one. The portfolio document is short, takes an hour, and its value appears entirely on the days when following it feels wrong.

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BEFORE YOU MOVE ON

Common questions

How much of my portfolio should be in crypto?

Only what you could lose entirely without changing how you live, after setting aside an emergency fund and any money needed within five years. One to ten percent of net worth is a common range for an ordinary financial position.

How should a crypto portfolio be structured?

In tiers with defined jobs: a core of Bitcoin and Ethereum, an established tier with written theses, a small speculative tier sized for total loss, and dry powder in stablecoins so you can act in a crash.

How often should I rebalance crypto?

Quarterly with drift bands works well for most people. It catches large moves without generating constant transactions, though it does create taxable events in most jurisdictions.

Risk warning: crypto is highly volatile and largely unregulated. You can lose everything you put in. Nothing here is financial, investment or tax advice.

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