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Ethereum Classic (ETC): tokenomics, risks and score

62/100SCORE · CMixed record Grade C, fair

The original Ethereum chain, continued by those who refused to reverse the 2016 DAO hack. It kept proof of work when Ethereum moved to proof of stake.

What Ethereum Classic is, and what it does

This is a base blockchain. It runs and secures its own network, and its token is what you pay to use that network and what secures it.

What the ETC token itself does: ETC pays fees on a chain with very little activity. No staking, no fee capture, capped supply.

Where it runs: Ethereum Classic. Mechanism: Proof of work, Ethash. It has been running since 2016, so roughly 10 years.

The facts

TICKER
ETC
SECTOR
Layer 1
CHAIN
Ethereum Classic
LAUNCHED
2016, so around 10 years of operating history
MECHANISM
Proof of work, Ethash
MAXIMUM SUPPLY
Approximately 210.7 million
VALUE CAPTURE
None
UPGRADE CONTROL
Immutable
VESTING
In progress
LIQUIDITY BAND
Small cap. Limited venue coverage. Check the order book before assuming you can exit.

How the score breaks down

track record17/20
tokenomics10/20
transparency14/15
decentralisation12/15
adoption3/15
liquidity6/15

Each dimension is explained on the directory page, and the reasoning behind it is taught in the Academy research process.

Supply and value capture

A capped supply with issuance still running down toward that cap. The token captures no protocol revenue. Any value rests on governance rights, speculation, or future changes that have not happened yet.

ETC pays fees on a chain with very little activity. No staking, no fee capture, capped supply.

Contracts are immutable and there is no admin key. Nobody can change the rules after the fact. Ownership is moderately concentrated. A handful of large holders could move the market.

Where it is strong and where it is not

✓ Strengths
  • Has operated for around 10 years and through at least one full bear market
  • Supply is capped, so holders are not diluted indefinitely
  • Immutable contracts with no admin key to abuse
  • Audited, with published reports
✗ Weaknesses
  • The token captures no protocol revenue, so its value rests on sentiment
  • Thin liquidity. Check order book depth before assuming you can exit
  • Has 1 recorded incident on its history

Incident history

2019 and 2020

Multiple successful 51 percent attacks reorganised the chain and enabled double spends, because renting enough mining power on the open market was affordable relative to the gain.

Our read

It exists as a principled position, that an immutable ledger should not be rewritten even to undo a theft, and that position is coherent. In practice it has almost no ecosystem, and its small hash rate made it a repeated and successful target for 51 percent attacks, which is exactly the failure the principle was meant to prevent.

The main risk

A small hash rate has repeatedly made 51 percent attacks economically viable, and there is effectively no application ecosystem.

Before you buy anything

Check the contract address against the project's own documentation rather than a search result or a screener link, since impersonation tokens with identical names and logos are listed constantly. Check the order book depth before assuming you can exit at the quoted price. And write down what would make you wrong before you buy, not after. The Academy thesis module covers why that single habit protects more capital than any indicator.

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RISK WARNING Crypto assets are highly volatile and largely unregulated. You can lose everything you put in. Nothing on this page is financial, investment or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Do your own research and never commit money you cannot afford to lose.