Home / Crypto / Academy / Research and fundamentals

The research toolkit: where the real numbers live

Every tool in this industry has a bias and a blind spot. Knowing which number to trust from which source is most of the skill.

MODULE 47 OF 64 LEVEL 5: RESEARCH AND FUNDAMENTALS 12 MIN

Block explorers: the primary source

An explorer reads the chain directly. It is the only category here that shows you facts rather than someone's interpretation of facts. Etherscan for Ethereum, and an equivalent for every other chain.

When any other source disagrees with an explorer, the explorer is right. It is reading the ledger.

Aggregators: convenient, and frequently wrong at the edges

Where aggregator data breaks
Circulating supply
Self reported
Projects submit this figure. Definitions of "circulating" are inconsistent and sometimes generous. Verify against the chain for anything you are seriously considering.
Volume
Includes wash trading
Exchange reported volume can be fabricated. Prefer sources that separately report a confidence adjusted figure, and treat huge volume on an unknown venue as noise.
Listings
Sometimes paid
Placement and featuring can be commercial. Presence on an aggregator is not vetting.
Prices on thin pairs
Unreliable
A price from an illiquid pool is a number, not a market. Check the depth before believing the quote.

On chain analytics: the strongest evidence, read carefully

Dashboards that turn raw chain data into usage, revenue, retention and flows. This is where the honest answers to "is it used" and "does it earn" live, and it is where the low quality research never goes.

Two cautions. Dashboards are built by people, so read the methodology before quoting a figure; two dashboards can report different revenue for the same protocol because they classify fees differently. And address counts are not user counts, because one person can control thousands of addresses and frequently does.

DEX screeners: real time, and full of traps

Live pair data, liquidity, buy and sell counts. Essential for anything newly launched and dangerous for the same reason: the newest listings are largely scams, and the interface presents them alongside legitimate assets with equal prominence.

Never buy from a screener link without independently confirming the contract address. Impersonation tokens with identical names and logos are listed constantly, and the link is the attack. Confirm the address from the project's own documentation.

Governance forums: the most underused source

Where a protocol's real problems are discussed by people who understand them. Treasury runway, whether revenue actually covers costs, contentious parameter changes, and dissent from informed critics.

Marketing is written for you. Governance discussion is written for participants who already know the weaknesses. Reading a project's last three months of forum activity is often more informative than everything else combined.

Social platforms: sentiment only, never facts

Useful for one thing: knowing what the market currently believes, which is genuinely tradeable information. Useless for verifying anything, because every account you can see is talking their own position and a meaningful share are paid to.

A workflow that uses each for what it is good at

  1. Aggregator for the basic shape: price, market cap, FDV, supply. Two minutes. Assume the supply figure needs checking.
  2. Explorer for the facts: verification, holder concentration, contract age. This kills most candidates.
  3. Unlock data for the supply schedule. Cross check against the project documentation.
  4. On chain analytics for usage, fees and retention. Read the methodology.
  5. Governance forum for the problems nobody advertises.
  6. Repeat steps three and four for the top competitors so your multiples are relative.
  7. Social platforms last, if at all, and only to gauge positioning, never to establish a fact.
Nearly everything above is free. The gap between amateur and professional research in crypto is not tool access, unlike most markets. It is knowing which number to distrust.
READ NEXT

BEFORE YOU MOVE ON

Common questions

What are the best crypto research tools?

A block explorer for facts, an aggregator for basic shape, on chain analytics for usage and revenue, unlock trackers for supply, and the project governance forum for the problems nobody advertises. Almost all of it is free.

Is CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap data accurate?

Directionally, with important exceptions. Circulating supply is self reported by projects, volume can include wash trading, and some placement is commercial. Verify supply against the chain for anything serious.

Where do professionals find information amateurs miss?

Governance forums and on chain analytics. Forum discussion is written for participants who already know the weaknesses, so it surfaces treasury and revenue problems long before anything else does.

Risk warning: crypto is highly volatile and largely unregulated. You can lose everything you put in. Nothing here is financial, investment or tax advice.

← PREVIOUS
Competitive analysis: why being better rarely wins
NEXT →
Writing an investment thesis, and the kill criteria that go with it